2010s

China Yuan Devaluation & Black Monday 2015

China shocked the world by devaluing the yuan. S&P 500 lost 11% in 6 days.

On August 11, 2015, China's central bank unexpectedly devalued the yuan by 2% — its largest single-day move in 20 years. Global markets panicked, fearing Chinese growth was far weaker than official data suggested. On August 24 (dubbed 'Black Monday 2015'), the Dow opened 1,000 points lower. The S&P 500 fell 11% in six trading days. The episode exposed how interconnected global markets had become with China's economy.

Key Facts

  • China devalued the yuan by 2% — its biggest single-day move in 20 years
  • The S&P 500 fell 11% in just 6 trading days
  • The Dow briefly dropped 1,089 points at the open on August 24 — its largest opening drop ever

Market Impact

S&P 500

-11.0%

Aug 18–25, 2015

Shanghai Composite

-43.0%

Jun–Sep 2015

Commodities (CRB)

-25.0%

2015

SPY Performance - From Event Start

Monthly price change (%) from August 11, 2015. Extended 12 months beyond February 11, 2016 for recovery context.

💡 Run SPY from the August 2015 panic bottom.

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What this means

  • Single historical episodes are context, not forecasts. Market paths can differ meaningfully in future cycles.
  • Returns shown around major events can be highly sensitive to entry and exit dates, so compare multiple windows.
  • Risk management and diversification matter because large drawdowns and sharp rebounds often cluster together.

Educational only - not financial advice.

What happened

On August 11, 2015, China's central bank unexpectedly devalued the yuan by 2% — its largest single-day move in 20 years. Global markets panicked, fearing Chinese growth was far weaker than official data suggested. On August 24 (dubbed 'Black Monday 2015'), the Dow opened 1,000 points lower. The S&P 500 fell 11% in six trading days. The episode exposed how interconnected global markets had become with China's economy.

Why it mattered

  • China devalued the yuan by 2% — its biggest single-day move in 20 years
  • The S&P 500 fell 11% in just 6 trading days
  • The Dow briefly dropped 1,089 points at the open on August 24 — its largest opening drop ever

Worked example

Historical hypothetical - for educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Scenario

$10,000 in SPY at the start of China Black Monday

Hypothetical outcome

Fell to ~$8,900 at the trough (-11%)

Key lesson

Investors who held through the trough - rather than selling at the bottom - participated in the subsequent recovery. Long-term holders of broad indices eventually saw full recovery and new highs.

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FAQ

What happened during China Black Monday?

On August 11, 2015, China's central bank unexpectedly devalued the yuan by 2% — its largest single-day move in 20 years. Global markets panicked, fearing Chinese growth was far weaker than official data suggested. On August 24 (dubbed 'Black Monday 2015'), the Dow opened 1,000 points lower. The S&P 500 fell 11% in six trading days. The episode exposed how interconnected global markets had become with China's economy.

How did S&P 500 perform during this period?

S&P 500 fell 11% during Aug 18–25, 2015. While painful for investors who sold, those who held through the decline often participated in the subsequent recovery.

What would $10,000 invested in SPY at China Black Monday be worth today?

Use our Investment Calculator with SPY starting 2015-08-25 to find the precise current value. Run SPY from the August 2015 panic bottom. Historical performance does not guarantee future results.

How long did it take markets to recover from China Black Monday?

China shocked the world by devaluing the yuan. S&P 500 lost 11% in 6 days. Recovery timelines varied by asset class: broad indices like the S&P 500 eventually recovered to pre-crash levels, though the duration ranged from months (2020) to years (2008) or even decades (1929). Our timeline tool lets you run these exact recovery scenarios.

What investing lessons does China Black Monday teach?

Market crashes are a recurring feature of investing, not an anomaly. China Black Monday reinforces several key lessons: diversification reduces but doesn't eliminate crash risk; panic-selling at the bottom locks in losses; and historically, patient investors who held through or bought during crashes were rewarded over multi-year horizons. Use our calculator to run specific "what if I had bought / sold at this exact point" scenarios.

Related links

All calculations are hypothetical and educational only. Data sources: official financial exchanges and public datasets. View full methodology →